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chronos

Can a circumbinary planet reveal itself through eclipse-timing variations, even when TESS observes only in separated windows? This exploratory script generates synthetic eclipsing-binary properties, injects planets, samples eclipse times that fall within TESS observing windows, adds a simple timing-noise estimate, and searches the resulting signal with a Lomb-Scargle periodogram. Its target and planet distributions are modeling assumptions, so treat its output as a simulation study rather than an observed recovery rate. The script reads TESS_orbit_times.csv, which is not included in this repository; it does not load source, lens, or Roman noise tables.

Set CHRONOS_PATH to the checkout directory when running the sampler from elsewhere. If unset, Chronos uses its checkout root. The current script reads TESS_orbit_times.csv from the ignored data/ directory and writes etv_sample.csv there. Generated figures can go in the ignored visuals/ directory.

Timing-search example

In Observing windows and eclipse timing, we compare continuous synthetic sampling with three artificial observing windows. The notebook calls Chronos's timing-noise, window-selection, and Lomb-Scargle functions through the example script. It displays the assumed signal, noisy timing measurements, fitted sinusoid, and period-search curves.

Synthetic timing residuals across the full observation baseline, with selected windows, the injected sinusoid, and a fitted sinusoid

The assumed signal has a 35-second amplitude and a 420-day period. Hypothetical eclipses occur every 2.5 days over 1200 days, with independent Gaussian noise. The observing windows and signal are synthetic. These figures do not establish detection significance, a unique physical orbit, or a survey recovery rate.

From the checkout root:

python examples/windowed_timing.py --bokeh
python examples/windowed_timing.py --typeplotback dark --typefileplot pdf

The example writes PNG or PDF figures and optional self-contained Bokeh HTML directly under examples/visuals/. Those generated files remain ignored. The notebook embeds its static figures, and images/ holds the README preview. NumPy, pandas, SciPy, Astropy, Matplotlib, and TDpy are needed for the calculation and static plots. The notebook additionally needs IPython and Bokeh.

Full orbit recovery

Run python etv_sampler.py only after providing the observing-window table and the rebound_model, lite_delay, tess_stars2px, and ticgen modules. Those inputs are not bundled here. Importing etv_sampler does not start workers or create a catalog. Full orbit integration and population recovery remain separate from the timing-component example above.

Tests

python -m pytest -q

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